Sunday, 29 March 2009

The right to remain silent



I saw this poster on a hoarding outside a rural petrol station on my way to a beer tasting event on Saturday. It's part of the otherwise ludicrous Policing Pledge.

Well, I'm sorry, but it looks like a threat to me. It's just a bit too close to 'You do not have the right to remain silent'. Yes, I know its not the same but I suspect the difference will be moot to many people.

Saturday, 28 March 2009

Website issues

You may have noticed a few problems with the website and forum over the last 24 hours or so.

This is just to let you know we are aware of the issue and have been working on it.

Hopefully we'll have it all sorted quite soon.

Friday, 27 March 2009

Five a day

Today I read via Mr Eugenides that Chris Giles, the FT's economist estimates that the UK government will have to raise an astonishing £350 billion pounds over the next two years. I was discussing this with our bookkeeper today and it's pretty clear that it's a figure so large that it's almost impossible to comprehend it.

A few months back, I read elsewhere the idea that became the basis of this short piece. I've elaborated on it and changed the math a little but the core idea is the same. I haven't been able to find the original, but if someone could point me at it I'd be happy to attribute.

Update

The original came from The Devil, who in turn was quoting from Cloutman at Comment is Free

Thursday, 26 March 2009

Clinton on drugs: Kinda right, and yet so wrong

This is a slightly updated version of a post first found here.
Hilary Clinton is in Mexico, talking about the US, Mexico, and drugs. Here's what she got right, and what she got so very wrong.

Right:

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton says the US must take part of the blame for drug-related violence in Mexico. Speaking as she arrived in Mexico, she said the US's appetite for drugs and its inability to stop arms crossing the border were helping fuel the violence

This really isn't surprising. It's the laws of economics, really. The US wants narcotics to help them forget how badly they're being wallet raped; Mexico supplies. If they can only be supplied by criminals willing to take the risks involved, then they'll be the only suppliers.

Wrong:
Her two-day visit comes a day after the Obama administration announced new measures to boost border security.
Of course, when you have a system of prohibition that has continuously failed to work, the most obvious thing to try is more of the same.

Right:
"Our inability to prevent weapons from being illegally smuggled across the border to arm these criminals causes the deaths of police officers, soldiers and civilians.

This is true. This is what happens- when you criminalize a trade, pushing it into the hands of criminals with no respect for human life.

Wrong:
Mrs Clinton said the Obama administration, working with the US Congress, intended to pledge $80m (£55m) to help Mexico buy Blackhawk helicopters.

Again, nothing but "more of the same". Plus, why should the US taxpayer be paying for stuff Mexico "needs" to fight a "War on Drugs" that shouldn't be fought?

Right:
She also acknowledged that US efforts to ban drugs had so far been unsuccessful in stopping the narcotics trade.

This is because prohibition of drugs, including alcohol, has been tried, and it failed consistently.
Think back to the American prohibition of alcohol- sure, there was violence and crime associated with it- but it was peanuts compared to the boom caused by the prohibition itself. The same applies to drugs other than alcohol.

I personally think that when it comes to drugs, a civilized discussion is pretty much impossible in the UK today. We're too blinded by fear of "The crazy drug dealer who wants to sell your kids meth!" and the stories of "Teenager found dead after injecting herself with drug extracted from horse glands!" or any other number of tabloid fodder.

Yet, looking back to the American prohibition, and a bit of reason and logic as opposed to media-driven sensationalism results in a simple realization: Most of the problems we associate with drugs are in fact caused by their prohibition. Of course, addiction, chance of overdose, etc, these are all real problems, yet even these could in many causes be reduced if we legalized the trade. For example, drugs have become increasingly potent since criminalization.
Another factor contributing to increased health consequences
of marijuana use is the increase in potency over the past several
years.
—The White House Drug Abuse Policy Office, 1984 National
Strategy for Prevention of Drug Abuse and Drug Trafficking

This happened in US prohibition of alcohol, too- you see, selling and transporting alcohol was risky because of its illegality, so in order to maximize returns for their risk, bootleggers would only sell stronger drinks- same with other drugs. It's called "The Iron Law of Prohibition", and it's one of the reasons prohibition is the worst policy when public health is concerned. There are countless others.

You can actually get heroin on the NHS if you're an addict- now, tell me, do you honestly think the drug dealer around the back of Asda will sell you stuff anywhere near as clean and well regulated as this?

Sterilized needles (how many times have you heard of the dangers of shared needles amongst addicts?), regulated potency and quality as well as quantities of the drug- imagine if all narcotics could be sold like this, on the market, much cheaper than dealers of banned substances. Can't you see now why prohibition causes so much violence and crime, rather than the drugs themselves?



LPUK policy is to end this "war on drugs" which has caused so much pain, and cost the taxpayer so much money. As our manifesto states:

Legalisation of all narcotic substances for adult consumption. The well respected Transform Drug Policy Foundation has a wealth of information explaining how this approach is the only one that will effectively address the problems that illegal drug use currently cause individuals and the wider nation.
The Transform Foundation have produced this document outlining why and how prohibition has failed, and how a sensible policy of legalization can benefit everyone.

Talk Of A Very British Coup- Vince Cable



Look who had a chat with HRH after Mervyn !

Buckingham Palace Court Circular

24th March, 2009

Miss Kathryn Tickell was received by The Queen today when Her Majesty presented her with The Queen’s Medal for Music.

Sir Peter Maxwell Davies (Master of The Queen’s Music) was present.

Mr. Mervyn King (Governor of the Bank of England) was received by Her Majesty.

Air Chief Marshal Sir Jock Stirrup (Chief of the Defence Staff) was received by The Queen.


Brown and Mandelson out of the country, the signals are coming thick and fast, they are even re running 'To play the King' and 'House of Cards' on Sky.

H/T Ian PJ

UPDATE

Blocked by the BBC, but Dan Hannan's speech goes Global H/T Guido

Wednesday, 25 March 2009

The Finance Director of UK Plc has called it.




Yesterday, we had the sight of Gordon Brown addressing a half empty chamber of the European Parliament. On the blogosphere we had the speeches of both Daniel Hannan and Nigel Farage ripping into Brown’s utter failure as both Chancellor and Prime Minister.

Did we see any of this on the BBC or any other broadcasting media in this country, did we hell. We just had the uncritical broadcast of Brown’s wooden triumphalism. The BBC has demonstrated yet again that it is under total state control. The Nu Labour message is pushed relentlessly through Eastenders,the One Show, the Archers etc creating a parody of the Britain that we live in filtered through the newspeak of Nu Labour.

Polly is also calling for state subsidy of the Grauniad and other ‘worthy’ print media (The Devil) whilst hundreds of longstanding regional newspapers go to the wall. They are going to the wall, because business that funds these papers through advertising can no longer afford to, so Polly wants state aid. Failing to see that the tax base has been eroded by business going bust.

Business is the goose that lays the Golden Eggs you stupid stupid woman.

Wondering why there are so many NHS and Government adverts on the TV at present, it is because business adverting has dried up, and the commercial channels are going bust, the Government advertising is a State subsidy to ensure that those sedatives, East Enders and Coronation Street stay on the air. Keep the masses entertained at all costs, its as old as bread and circuses.

However despite the Hannan and Farage blackout, the Financial Director of UK Plc , Mervyn King, made the clearest public statement that he could that the country has run out of money, the rest of the board of UK Plc are too scared to admit it and are in denial. I have seen the ‘bunny in the headlights’ syndrome in so many directors and managers faces in the last thirty years, unable to comprehend that the bullshit they have been feeding their staff, their customers, their creditors will no longer wash. The defining day for me was when Labour started printing money guaranteed to stoke ‘stagflation’. The monopoly money is being used to pay state employees and the unemployed, whilst business after business goes bust.

Governments, historically, with their backs to the wall do one of two things- they go voluntarily or they indulge in repression. The Stuarts did repression and where thrown out of power in an avoidable bloody civil war, The last Tsar put the Cossacks on the streets, it all ended in a cellar in Ekaterinburg.

April 1st will be a defining day for this Government and for the Conservative Party. The G20 protests, sure, will be have a huge mix of the usual ‘awkward’ squad, but the uniting mood will be the one against this corrupt Government and the Bankers that it has given our treasure to. The Police are going to have a hard time of it, if they are beaten into a corner trying to defend the indefensible. If I was Stephenson I would be saying to Jackboot Jacqui that the Summer of Rage has arrived early and that only a political solution is going to save the day, not more repression.

Brown can either drag this agony out, or be dragged out himself or stand aside, as did the leaders of Iceland and Hungary, and call a General Election. Cameron cannot assume the reins and come out with more of the same policies. Otherwise he is going to just play the role of a failed Kerensky.

In my humble opinion, the Conservatives should dump Cameron with his weak ‘Capitalism with a Conscience’, and promote those with a clear mandate and Plan to put to the people.

My personal wishlist in the first 100 days.

The immediate abolition of both BBC and Income Tax on the same day. The freeing up of 40% of our salaries, those still lucky enough to be in work, will be circulated into the shops, homes and businesses, and will create real jobs.

The creation of a Tax Haven Britain for businesses across the world to invest in.

The immediate closure of ALL quangos, wholesale sacking of public servants.

The NHS to be funded from NI, not general taxation.

The end to our costly overseas military entanglements.

Reform of Parliament to 100 full time MP’s and a written constitution.


We are going one of two ways in 2009, a socialist siege economy or a new start for capitalism that has made us rich over the last two hundred and fifty years, that excessive taxation has destroyed.


Update:

Since starting this piece a newsflash has gone across my screen that Fred Goodwin’s home has been attacked. Perhaps time is shorter than I thought.

Updated Update:

With thanks to both Subrosa, Lilith and Guido, I had missed the unprecendented meeting without officials present between Mervyn King and HRH.

This is as sure a sign of a political meltdown as you would would wish to see, HRH will be 'suggesting' various courses of action if the Saxe-Cobourg-Gotha family wish to stay at their current residence.

UPDATED UPDATED UPDATE

UK Government Gilt sale fails

Tuesday, 24 March 2009

You won't see this on the BBC...

Dan Hannan disagrees with Gordon Brown...


(See Dan's Blogpost here.)

Northern Rock not wound up due to "inadequate" IT.

Via Finextra (login required).

The UK government was forced to rule out letting failed bank Northern Rock wind down because poor IT systems would have left depositors waiting for their money, risking another major run.

The revelation comes in a report by the National Audit Office (NAO) on the government's handling of the failed bank, which was nationalised in February 2008.

The report says that in September 2007 the Treasury considered stopping Northern Rock from taking deposits and writing new mortgages and beginning a process of winding down the company.

However "inadequate IT systems at Northern Rock meant that depositors would have had to wait for their money".

The firm operated a manual account closure process and estimated that it would have taken up to 10 to 12 weeks to repay depositors, with a likely error rate of 25%.

This would have risked another major run and potential hardship for those reliant on access to their funds, says the report, forcing the government to rule out an immediate wind-down on "practical grounds".

The report says work on updating the technology was then begun to enable quicker repayment of depositors if needed at a later stage.


Does the term "not fit for purpose" spring to your mind as well as mine? Because they had inadequate systems that suggests to me that Northern Rock should almost certainly have been wound down and the Directors, or at least the CIO, wound up in gaol for gross negligence equal to fraud.

Other companies are not given a reprieve because their incompetent Directors had admin systems and procedures so bad nobody knew who was owed what, so why should this happen for a bank? Why should Taxpayers pay and continue to pay because those running Northern Rock were incompetent? It does not encourage good behaviour elsewhere.

Far from it.

This, on top of the news that we, the Taxpayer, had to pay £80m in Consultancy fees over the Northern Rock problems because of Treasury spinelessness/incompetence/irresponsibility, while the bank continued to churn out "Together" mortgages offering 125pc LTV.

Yes, "together" - Together, Northern Rock and the Taxpayer are drifting up Brown Creek without a moral compass.

Monday, 23 March 2009

Proposal: Galloway vs Wilders

Salaam? Galloway/Hamas coup leader love-in


Well if we're going to condemn GOV.UK for denying entry to Geert Wilders, then I guess we'd better condemn the Canadian government for denying George Galloway entry to Canada. Basically the reason is the same: they think free speech is a privilege, one that can be taken away if it looks like making trouble for the government. Same excuse: 'A threat to security'.


Wilders was not a threat to UK security - and what's more - denying his entry into the UK looks like support for the murder of Theo van Gogh; Galloway is not a threat to Canadian security and denying his entry looks like support for wars of aggression.


My opinion: ask the two if they'd like to go on a joint speaking tour. Beef up security for the events and get this stuff - ALL OF IT - out in the open! Sweeping it under the carpet in whosoever's interest is adding to a creeping timebomb of community friction in both our countries. Get it out in the open; let the crazies on both sides demonstrate their willingness to use violence to silence those they disagree with, and let the law deal with them as it should.


Sky news article: George-Galloway-Hamas-Support*-Sees-Him-Blocked-From-Entering-Canada-For-Being-A-Threat-To-Security


* Is this about Hamas support? Was it because Wilders is a racialist? Or are these convenient excuses, enough to ensure that we daren't protest against their gagging?

Friday, 20 March 2009

Check your Council Tax Bill

I have just received a call from the Treasurer of the Avon & Somerset Police Authority.

I queried why in the budget I received through the post, it showed a tenfold increase from £2M in 2008/9 to £20m 2009/10 for Capital expenditure.

Tenfold ! We are in a small largely rural District Council

This was hurriedly explain as a refurbishment project for detention facilities that needed bringing up to 21st standards.

Pressing a little harder it turns out this is not a refurbishment project at all. It is a PFI project with the Home Office ( I did not get an answer as to where the money is going to be borrowed from and on what terms) to build 'detention facilities' near Motorways and in City Centres.

I have published before the job advert for an asessor for this programme, but then it was being done under the auspices of the Foreign Office.

The State is building a lot more detention capability because it thinks it is going to need it.

Quote of the Day

A definition of 'waste' is when a busload of Keynesian Economists drives off a cliff and there are a few empty seats.

- Kevin Dowd, speaking at the Chris R. Tame Memorial Lecture, 17th March 2009.

Thursday, 19 March 2009

The EU's power is easy to miss

Perhaps something that people who are considering voting in the EU elections in June should consider.

Europe's power is easy to miss. Like an 'invisible hand', it operates through the shell of traditional political structures.

The British House of Commons, British law courts, and British civil servants are still here, but they have all become agents of the European Union implementing European law.
This is no accident. By creating common standards that are implemented through national institutions, Europe can take over countries without necessarily becoming a target for hostility… Europe's invisibility allows it to spread its influence without provocation.
- Pro-euro author Mark Leonard

The quotation above might sound like something out of a theory. But Mark Leonard – a passionate advocate of deeper integration - makes an astute observation.

That is why Labour, Conservative nor LibDem will not discuss the EU in the debating chamber, nor in Newspapers or the Internet. We all know its there, but non shall speak its name. Keep the people ignorant of this all pervading hegemony until it is too late for them to do anything about it is the agenda of the ruling elite.

Again I ask the question: What riches have been promised that our MP's act like traitorous thieves in the night.

The Libertarian Party however will speak its name, and continue to warn of the dangers of this ever so slow slide into an unelected post democratic EU empire.

Last week I warned of those who would attempt to trick the British public into believing that they can swap real party led democracy for a post democratic era, yet pretend that this was real democracy in action.

The kind of politics that Jury Team are presenting is clearly the next step in the EUropeanisation of the UK. They have pretty much destroyed our National identity, they have worked well to destroy the national will and fabric of our heritage, and now they will destroy our ability to speak out, to challenge, to defy, to oppose through government by destroying the Party Political system.


Jury Team are there to further the interests of the EU, to neuter any coherent challenge to the working of the unelected in Brussels who would rule us, and the words of EU president José Manuel Barroso make abundantly clear who rules in Europe.

"It is the main political parties and the main political families that really shape the European agenda... Of course these are the most influential families in Europe."

Not me, not you, not our elected representatives, but the most influential families in Europe. The voice of Independents would be blown away in the wind, yet this is the EU that the LibDem's and Conservatives are committed to.

The future of Britain should not be decided by influential families, or by political parties who would collude with them, this is not democracy in any way shape or form. Beware those who would have you believe otherwise.

The Libertarian Party will not be participating in the EU elections, we believe them to be a sham, an elected house of those who are there merely to rubber stamp the decisions made by these influential families, to give the impression of democracy.

The EU parliament cannot make law, only approve that which is already written and laid before them by the EU Commission, which now accounts for over 80% of new laws in Britain.

The Libertarian Party is committed to pulling Britain out of the EU, a position that the British people clearly want, to develop a future outside of the influence of these empire builders, to develop a future for the British people in the best interests of the British people, free from Authoritarian rule.

The LPUK Manifesto is a manifesto for Britain, for the people of Britain, and for the British people to decide their own future. The Libertarian Party is committed to reassert the primacy of our Bill of Rights and Common Law system over the Napoleonic system that has encroached from the continent in recent years.
 
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Wednesday, 18 March 2009

'Liberal' Youth catfight

Guido is reporting trouble at mill with the Social Democrats Jugend, with a spectacular punch up between 'Libertarian' leaning Sara Scarlett and former Nu-Labour firebrand Elaine Bagshaw, who seems to have brought all of her Nu-Labour intolerance and dirty tricks with her.

The Social Democrats seems to be a place where, if you are a left leaning Islamo-Christian right wing fundamentalist on the centre ground, you can find a home.

Sara if you read this, stop leaning and become a Libertarian, all you need to be is, well, a Libertarian.

GMC knowingly denied District Judge's drink problem.

Who are we talking about? Esther Cunningham who in November 2006 had to be forcibly ejected from Grantham Magistrates Court turned up in hearings held by the GMC most notably as a legal assessor against Dr Helen Bright in 2007. Dr Bright said she was drunk at the hearing but the GMC denied this.

Well she has now admitted that she has a drink problem and has been suspended from practising as a solicitor.

"In January 2009 the Solicitors' Disciplinary Tribunal in London heard the deputy district judge, who adjudicates largely on civil matters in Lincolnshire, now accepts she had a drink problem and admitted bringing her profession-into disrepute.

The tribunal also heard that six months later, Cunningham appeared drunk while teaching on a two-day legal training course."


Questions come to mind. Why is the GMC using people with drink problems as their legal assessors in their hearings. If it were a doctor who had drink problems they would face almost immediate sanctions yet this district judge has been able to work for almost 2 years before her hearing. Double standards at work again I see.

The GMC seem to be exceptionally hypocritical.

Public Sector A Recession Free Zone



Well tell me something I did not know, that the Private Sector is taking the hit, while the State Cuckoos are taking over the nest.

The CIPD says that as unemployment passes the 2 million mark, on its way to at least 3 million, there is a strong case for preserving or increasing public sector employment

The public sector needs additional resources at this time to cope with the various social consequences of the recession, and it would anyway be a false economy for government to make public sector staff redundant and then have to pay them welfare benefits



So explain that to me Mr Expert- Civil Servant on £20,000 producing nothing but bits of paper going round in circles, redundant engineer on £2990 job seekers also producing nothing. Which would be more useful working.

You are an idiot- shut up

Monday, 16 March 2009

FSA to cap mortgages- more tinkering around the edges



The Fsa are going to cap mortgages to three times income, sensible and prudent on its own, however this is not going to alleviate the housing construction crisis, nor get one more house built, because land is too bloody expensive.

Since 1945, we have had planning acts that have throttled off the supply of building land artificially. Restrict the supply of anything its price rises. The Libertarian Party is committed to burning most if not all of the plannings acts that have produced nothing but souless soviet style estates, the loss of the vernacular and hugely expensive house prices.

Self build and architect commissioned houses have always produced variety and verve in our cities and towns, the deadhand of central planning however, has produced low quality housing and overcrowding.

Distinct lack of joined up thinking here from the Government as usual.

Sunday, 15 March 2009

Citizens Basic Income - the case for.

[This turned out to be longer than I would have liked. Sorry about that]

I'm grateful to Tim Carpenter for giving me the standard name for this idea. He also said on comments elsewhere on this blog that it sticks in the craw of many libertarians. I'm not surprised to hear that; the suggestion that welfare should be
brought under control by having rather more of it seems on the face of it, complete nonsense. I do see arguments for CBI however, and at the risk of repeating discussions elsewhere I'm going to go over them here and hope that I don't come over as too naive.

Perhaps someone would do me kindness of posting an against piece. I'm going to be away from keyboard after mid-day Monday for about a week but I'll respond when I get back.

With some very severe alcoholics cutting them off completely from drink causes more than discomfort - it can cause seizures and even death. The UK is in a similar position with regard to welfare. I wrote a piece here recently where I rehearsed some of the difficulties in transitioning from our current system to a Libertarian one.

Pagar wrote a piece on a very common reaction to the ideas of LPUK. I'd concur with that analysis. When I discuss Libertarianism with people, welfare is the point of the discussion where people start getting out the crosses and garlic. Although the it would be nice to be able to ignore this reaction, it does not bode well for electoral success.

Some time back Charles Murray published a book called 'In our Hands' about welfare in the US. He suggested that every adult citizen receive a standard amount once a year. His numbers were based on the US situation. Things are different here, and given the ongoing banking crisis probably different there now too.

Before going through benefits and a discussion on how the idea might be reconciled with Libertarianism, I'd like to look at the costs. My sums are crude, and mainly based on an afternoon with google. It also involves a bit of fantasy social engineering (not vital but fun). There about 29 million people working in the UK. About 6 million are in public service not including defense. In my proposal people paid by the government are entitled to CBI, but their salary will be cut by the same amount. The rest of us are already paying for them once. paying twice adds insult to injury.

[Yes, it _is_ fair. Their income hasn't changed. If they don't like may I humbly suggest a job in the private sector ?]

The basic question is then - how much? The LPUK manifesto gives a clue here. It says that LPUK would honor pension commitments and this presumably includes the state pension. That's a tad under £91 per week or an annual payout of £4716 a year. It's not easy to live on this and CBI is not intended to be easy to live on. However, we do ask many of our most vulnerable citizens to do exactly that right now. It's certainly a good enough figure to do some calculations with.

There are around 60 million people in the UK. About 67% are adults that is, about 50 40 million. Public sector employees represent a further 6 million people who would be more or less cost neutral. That leaves 44 million. Another 10 million are pensioners, also cost neutral leaving 34 24 million new claimants. At £4716 that suggests a basic additional cost of 34e6 * 4.716e3 = 160e9, £160 24e6 * 4.716e3 = 113e9, £113 billion.

But we also make some quantifiable savings. We currently pay about £15 billion in annual unemployment, £29 billion in sickness, incapacity etc. Tax credits run a further £13 bn per annum. [These numbers largely came from the Tax Payers Alliance] CBI replaces all of this so the cost reduces to £103 £56 billion. Finally, given that the libertarian revolution will be powered by consumption taxes it's not unreasonable to suppose that a further 10% will be clawed back this way. That's a further £16 £11 billion.

This leaves an additional cost over current arrangements of £87 £45 billion. £45 billion is a lot of money, but with an annual tax take of £534 billion it represents about 16 8%. I'm told we pay about £150 billion on quangos in the UK so there are plenty of things that could be eliminated to cover this additional cost.

I haven't included savings from eliminating large parts of the civil service currently used to administrate the existing system. I have no idea how much they would be.

Apart from the cost of £45 billion what's the main disadvantage ? Simply that it's not at all Libertarian. It's a burden on taxpayers and redistributionist. I believe it can only be justified if the cost is a temporary measure.

Why is it needed ? There's an ethical reason and a pragmatic reason. The ethical reason is that a significant proportion of our population have been brought up and educated over the last 60 years within a welfare state. Lots of them know no other way and simply eliminating it at a stroke would cause huge suffering. Collectively we have to take some responsibility for this and CBI provides the means while avoiding the current disaster that is our benefits system.

The pragmatic reason is that CBI provides a massive counter argument to a number of political attacks. The nasty party ? It's planning to to ensure every adult in the UK has a basic income. Massive spending cuts ? LPUK is ensuring that those made redundant have an allowance nearly one third greater than existing levels. etc. In my opinion, CBI makes LPUK electable because it has a positive impact on a large segment of the adult population. Getting elected is no small thing. All the other policies in the manifesto are simply words on paper until we are elected.

How do we ensure that the cost is eliminated over time ? In an inflationary environment all you have to do is keep the amount the same and wait. We can do better than this if we put a small (in this context) sum aside each year and invest it conservatively. For example £1 billion a year over half a century an a sovereign wealth fund could easily cover the cost of CBI. Perhaps we could think of it as our gift to our grandchildren.

What are the advantages, apart from smoothing the transition to a libertarian economy ? The main one is that it eliminates the poverty trap. Living on £4716 a year is not easy. Solution, go and work a few hours and your income will go up. CBI is not reduced because you have started to make a living.

On the other hand it is not increased if you happen to have a child. The idea of a single mother having kids in order to gain benefits is absolutely abhorrent and there is speculation that it leads directly to baby P situations. The easiest way for a single mum to improve her income is to join forces with dad, A joint income of £9432 will help, getting dad to work a bit will help even more.

The theory of how life could get better with CBI is set out in extensive detail in Charles Murray's book. In the final analysis it solves the welfare conundrum by cutting through the Gordian Knot. It's a nice simple answer that might just work.

Minimum pricing for alcohol - legal or illegal ?

I've just noticed that our old friend Sir Liam Donaldson is up to his tricks again. As predicted, the plan for minimum pricing of alcohol units is now being eyed up for the rest of the UK as well.

The government's top medical adviser has drawn up plans for a minimum price for alcohol which would double the cost of some drinks in England.

For trenchant and more than usually sweary analysis, see the Devil.

I don't think there's any doubt that this rump of a government will be trying to cram a variety of ill thought out plans into the few months remaining to them before the inevitable election brings down the curtain. In this instance however, there is one small glimmer of hope.

Some time back Greece, tried to set a minimum price on tobacco to discourage smoking. The European Court of Justice threw it out. In sleep inducing but actually extremely important language they said:

measures based on Article 30 of the Treaty cannot be justified unless they are necessary in order to attain the objective pursued by that article and that objective is not capable of being attained by measures which are less restrictive of intra-Community trade.
...and...

In this case it must be observed that the objective of protecting public health may be adequately attained by increased taxation of manufactured tobacco products, which would safeguard the principle of free formulation of prices.


That is, you can tax the stuffing out of people but you can't interfere with a free market. For yet more analysis see EU Referendum and The Times.

I've mentioned before that I'm not a fan of the EU, but at the moment it represents virtually the only restraint on the current bunch of clowns in charge.

Saturday, 14 March 2009

My Libertarian Values #2 - The Economy


In this the second of my articles about my Libertarian Values, I am going to confront head on the Economy, the problems that we face at the moment, the Libertarian solution in the short term, and our longer term vision for Economic recovery in the UK.


I will begin by saying that this vision does not include the UK being in the EU, nor being a controlled part of the Global circus that is currently shaping itself to become a single world currency, managed by the very same people who have made this current crisis not just a possibility, but a reality.


My belief is that the people best placed to manage the economy of the UK, are the people of the UK, from the bottom up, not from the top down.


We are now all fully aware that the Global economic crisis, a major recession in each and every country, has been promulgated by government actions to encourage the Banks and financial institutions around the world to lend to those who cannot afford the debt, and would have never been able to repay. The Banks having seen that the risks to themselves in following these political guidelines were catastrophic, and having seen the regulatory bodies split into unmanageable and unaccountable slices, such as the FSA in the UK, devised mechanisms by way of shady financial instruments in order to put off what everyone else knew was totally non-sustainable growth.


The answer from this government, having run out of real money and reserves, has been to create, out of thin air, by placing nominal figures into a magical spreadsheet, trillions of pounds worth of debt, to give to the banks, who will then leverage that magic money by lending to other institutions and customers to create ever more debt, and at the same time invite them to buy government Gilts in order to make the magic money disappear. But no one is buying.


This is the road of madness, because all that is really happening is that you are again putting off the fateful day when that illusionary debt has to be repaid, and a credit crisis of even larger magnitude will befall us all, placing the population of Britain into permanent bankruptcy and reducing us to the status of a 3rd world banana republic.


The encouragement by this government, and of the opposition parties in the UK Parliament to this festival of debt is based upon the premise that the population are still gullible enough to believe that they need more debt to get out of trouble not less.


I believe that the people of Britain are far more sensible than that. I believe that they know that what is required is not government giving more money to banks to lend to them, not more bailouts to manufacturers to stay afloat, not worthless cuts in VAT to encourage people to spend, but real money at the bottom of the pyramid.


I wrote an article previously about Quantitative Easing, outlining a Libertarian short term solution to this problem, giving a practical way forward, so I will re-iterate some of it here again.


Economies are not led from the top, they are created and maintained by funds flowing up the chain. They may be controlled at the top, regulated from the top, but they all rely on one thing. The purchasing power of individuals and business at the bottom.

We all know that the car industry does not need funds from government to survive, that will only lead to standstill, it needs buyers of the vehicles that it produces.

I have seen several options as to how this can be achieved, the first Bush stimulus, the $300 to $1200 in tax-rebates was one such attempt, which is now mirrored by the Japanese approach to the crisis as PM Taro Aso, has decided to gift 12000 yen to every adult and up to 8000 yen to 18-21 years olds and those over 65.

But a simple one off give-away is not going to be enough to stop the rot, as that bottom up approach needs to be sustained.

Brown could be really brave here and buck the global trend to resolve the economic problems of the UK, and rather than assisting in the concentration of financial power with so called quantitative easing measures, he should be reducing the tax burden of those at the bottom of the pyramid.

To reduce basic income tax at all levels to a standard 10% would increase the disposable income of 90% of the working population. These funds would immediately be used to pay off debt, reduce bank overdrafts and credit card balances, put into savings, spent on pension funds, purchase new goods in shops, which in turn would increase the manufacturers orders to the suppliers of raw materials, in short it would stimulate the entire economy. We need real money being fed into the economy from the bottom up. It would also have the added benefit of removing much of the Bank's vice like dominance of the financial sector.

The reduction in taxation would immediately arrest this downward trend, it would put real money back into the economy and encourage spending again. We can turn this around but only if we act in the best interests of Britain.


The people of Britain don't want more credit, they now want real money, real solutions and real leadership from Government to make this happen. But this cannot happen whilst our economic, manufacturing and regulatory lives are dictated by the EU as it is now.


We can arrest this problem, but in order to make this a sustainable solution, we also need to look at making some very widespread and fundamental changes to the Economy overall.


The Libertarian manifesto outlines those requirements in some detail, which will enable us to survive into the centuries ahead, with or without the rest of the world following suit. It will allow us to conduct our international trading, yet at the same time protect the domestic affairs of the population of Britain.


The monetary reform proposals consist of three central planks. However, and before we can talk about what we'd like to change, we need to take a brief look at how the current banking system works, and expose the flaws that our policies seek to address.

Where Does Money Come From?

Most people think that the government creates all of our money by printing banknotes, and minting coins. But that is not the case. Let's start by looking at where the government gets its income from.



Government Income
Banknotes are printed by the Bank of England (BoE) on behalf of the government. The BoE then sell those notes at face value to commercial banks, who use them to fill their cash machines and to hand over to us when we withdraw money from our bank accounts. The profits from the sale of these notes by the BoE (known technically as seigniorage) is passed straight back to the government, and netted the Treasury the sum of £2.3 billion in the tax year 2007/08.

The second source of government income is well known and hated by us all—taxes.

Finally, the government gains income through borrowing. If insufficient funds have been brought in through seigniorage and taxation to meet the government's spending commitments, it sells bonds. Bonds are the equivalent of a government IOU, and promise the holder that the government will buy them back at a future date for the value of the bond plus some predetermined interest.

Raising money through selling bonds has a huge downside, though. It means that the government incurs debt. And, like the rest of us with debts (on a credit card, for example), the government ends up paying a sum of money each year simply to service those debts. Government estimates for 2007/08 put the figure that it will have spent on servicing its own debts at a staggering £30 billion—over 20% of the total amount of income tax that we all paid!, although that has now risen to the incredible amount of 110% of income tax receipts this year alone.


Money From Thin Air
Currently, around 97% of the 'money' in our economy isn't in the form of notes that you can fold, or change that weighs down your pockets—it's in the form of credit (or debt, depending upon which side of the transaction you are standing). So the real question to be asking if we want to understand where our money comes from is how all of this debt appears?

Our commercial banks create money as debt, effectively from 'thin air'.

Imagine a person paying, to keep the example straightforward, £100 in notes or coins into their bank account. Now, bankers know that most of the time, most people leave their money in their bank accounts; we tend to pay for goods with our debit cards, or by writing cheques to one another. Consequently, if a bank has just received £100 in cash it knows that there is little chance that the depositor is going to come along and ask for it back at any moment.

Knowing this, banks only keep on hand a certain proportion of deposited funds; the amount that they reasonably expect they will need to cover any requests for withdrawals. The amount is termed the reserve ratio, and for any funds deposited, a bank will solely keep the amount of the reserve ratio on hand, and lend out the remainder. The whole process is known as fractional reserve banking (FRB).

So, to carry on our example, if the bank that person paid his £100 into maintained a reserve ratio of 10%, the bank would accept the £100 deposit, keep £10 on hand, and lend out the remaining £90.

But what happens to that £90 loan? The individual or business who takes it from the bank will probably not just spend it straight away, but deposit it into their bank account. If they do so in cash, the whole process can start again. Assuming that their bank also maintains a 10% reserve ratio, the bank will accept the £90 deposit, keep £9 on hand, and lend out the remaining £81.

And so the process continues. In fact, if fully worked through the system, that original £100 deposit will end up having 'created' a total of £1,000 that can be spent in the real economy.

In accounting terms, no money is actually created. If each borrower were to pay back their loan in sequence, the debts would unwind until we were left with our original £100 deposit at the first bank. This is why those who defend the existing system will tell you that no new money is really created.

What these folks conveniently overlook, however, is that in real terms, as opposed to accounting niceties, new money has appeared—it's in your hands, and you can spend it. And as long as new bank deposits are being made, the process above can continue.


Keeping The Merry-go-round Turning
And what allows the entire process to continue is our central bank—the Bank of England. Remember the bonds that the government sells to raise additional funds, the Treasury IOUs? Well the BoE will, from time to time, buy bonds in the market. To pay for its purchases, the BoE genuinely does create money from thin air, and credits the seller's account with money that it has just decreed should exist.

This process injects new money into the economy, which spreads about and ensures that the fractional reserve system described above never grinds to a halt.

If it wishes to, the BoE can use the same process in reverse; selling Treasury securities and destroying the money the purchaser pays. In this manner, the BoE has a crude control mechanism available for determining how much money exists in our economy at any one time.

The BoE also sells money to the commercial banks. These banks buy money at one rate, then loan it out to their customers at a higher rate, pocketing the difference.

The above is, of necessity, a simplified explanation of how FRB operates, and the role played by the central bank. The Bank of England do not appear to have ever produced a layman's guide to these processes, but the US Federal Reserve has. Although several years old now, this document is still a good guide to the operation of a fractional reserve system, and largely applicable to the regime in the UK as well as the US. This video provides an excellent introduction to the problems outlined above. If you wish to look at the technical detail for the UK system, the Bank of England's Handbooks In Central Banking series of publications, and in particular Handbook #24 (Monetary Operations), is a good place to start.

And whilst the above is a simplistic version of the processes at work, remember that much of the complex language and obscure practice of the banking industry is designed to mask its operations from public scrutiny. At its heart, it is a simple fraud: central banks genuinely creating money from thin air, and commercial banks lending money that's not rightfully theirs to loan. As the famous economist JK Galbraith once noted: "The process by which banks create money is so simple that the mind is repelled."



Why Have We Got This System?

The short answer is because bankers profit from it!

Remember the seigniorage that the government receives from the printing of banknotes by the Bank of England? That brought £2.3 billion into the Treasury last year. Estimates by Huber and Robertson back in 2000 suggested that the loss in seigniorage to the government by allowing commercial banks to create money was in the order of £49 billion per annum. And, of course, the more money that exists within the economy, the greater this loss is to the government.

The big driver for commercial banks is the interest that they charge on loans. Obviously, the more loans that they have on their books, the greater the potential amount of interest that they can earn. Simply by being able to loan (effectively) the same money over and over again, they are able to develop multiple interest income streams from a single deposit. Banks also profit from the business of actually arranging loans. Most will charge a small percentage of a loan's value simply for allowing you to enter into the loan contract with them.

We've enjoyed this system—largely unchanged—since the Bank of England was first established in 1694. Seeing the obvious benefits to themselves, bankers around the world have, over the centuries, embraced a model first imposed upon the people of our nation.

But it's a flawed model. It's one built to serve the interests of the few, not the many. It's one that results in the scourge of inflation. It's one whose time has long passed.

Libertarian Monetary Reform: Three Necessary Planks

To build a strong bridge from our unfair and failed banking system to an honest and prosperous future one requires some sturdy materials. The Libertarian Party's monetary reform proposals consist of three central planks.


Plank One: Sterling — A National Currency That Belongs To The Nation
Our first key proposal is to wrest the privilege of creating money from the private banking industry, and to return it to where it rightfully belongs: the Crown.

Where an increase in the money supply is required to maintain monetary value—because of a growth in the underlying economy—government will spend the newly created debt-free money into the economy in the form of financing capital works, paying the salaries of public sector workers and so on.

This money will be the money that we are all familiar with: pounds Sterling. Our national currency, it will once again become the property of the nation. Out of control inflation caused by feckless bank lending will become a thing of the past, as we will demand that all Sterling be 100% reserved. All income from seigniorage will end up in the public purse, to provide funds for necessary government activities.

Should a particular government abuse its position and create more money than the economy requires, all of us—as the electorate—will have the opportunity to do something about the situation at the ballot box. This is in stark contrast to the current position, where inflationary pressures are created by unelected private bankers; people who actually have a vested interest in causing such pressures in the first place—the more money that they create, the greater their profits.

Nobel Prize winning economist Milton Friedman once said: "Money is too important to be left to central bankers". This is a position that we wholeheartedly endorse. The private banking industry needs to be removed from involvement in the creation of our national currency and, as US President Thomas Jefferson remarked over 200 years ago: "The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs"; to the government of the nation, on behalf of the entire nation.


How To Prevent The Fractional Reserving Of Sterling?
A key point of these proposals is to prevent the fractional reserving of pounds Sterling in the future. As banks must be allowed to continue taking deposits and making loans in Sterling, this raises a potential problem.

To illustrate the problem, cast your mind back to the person depositing £100 in cash into his bank in our example above. Currently, the bank taking that deposit has no way of knowing if the money is government produced (debt-free) money, or if the person depositing it has acquired it via a loan. Without being able to distinguish between debt-free and debt-laden money, the bank cannot determine whether it should be allowed to re-lend that money.

In the days before computerisation of the banking system, this issue would have been easily dealt with. When there was a direct one-to-one relationship between money and the physical representation of it (the banknote), everybody knew where they were. However, it would be totally absurd in this day and age to return to the historic system of having fleets of security vans ferrying physical banknotes around the country between branches and different banks.

Various solutions to this problem have been mooted by different experts. Fortunately, the very technology that has largely rendered banknotes obsolete—computers, with vast amounts of cheap data storage—offer us the potential for tracking money through the banking system, to ensure that is only capable of being on loan to any one person at any time.

Those who run the banking computer systems have not had cause to give much thought to these issues to date, as they don't currently require this functionality. As a responsible political party, we intend to fully consult with private banking institutions to develop a future system that is both effective and transparent.

No matter that any such system would mean changes in the way that banks do business, we need to remember that what we are talking about here are solely implementation issues. Whether hard or simple for banks to adapt to, such mere procedural issues must not be seen as a barrier to prevent the much needed structural change from occurring. No government fails to attempt to apprehend criminals simply because it would be easier to allow them to roam free; and no government should shy away from monetary reform simply because the changes required might be arduous for the private banks to implement.


Plank Two: Pounds Sovereign — A 'Hard' Currency
In addition to reforming how pounds Sterling are created and handled, the Libertarian Party is proposing the introduction of an additional, parallel, currency: pounds Sovereign.

What gives our money today the value that it has is simply our trust that the government, and the banks, will honour it. There is no physical commodity backing Sterling: it is what is known as a fiat currency.

Our money was not always like this. In the past, precious metals such as gold and silver (the origin of our pounds Sterling) were kept by banks, and banknotes issued in relation to the amount of precious metals on hand. Such hard currencies proved remarkably resilient over the centuries, and really only died off during the 20th century with the explosion in fractional reserve banking.

Precious metals like gold have held their value—their real purchasing power—remarkably over the ages. Back in Roman times, an ounce of gold would have bought you a good quality toga, belt and sandals. Today, that same ounce of gold would pay for a quality suit, belt and a pair of shoes5.

Metals, and particularly gold, are still of great value in the world economy. This is never more true than during times of economic trouble, such as that which we are facing right now. Whilst fiat money may be refused as a means for financing foreign trade, gold never is.

Back in 1999, Gordon Brown decided to sell off over half of the UK's gold reserves via auction—an act described by Peter Fava, then head of precious metal dealing at HSBC, as "a disastrous decision"6. Not only was the decision to sell the wrong one, but trailing it in advance guaranteed that prices would be depressed prior to the auction. As Martin Stokes, former vice-president at JPMorgan, said: "I was surprised they had chosen the auction method. It indicated they did not have a real understanding of the gold market"6.

Gold is still key to the operations of most central banks around the world. At the end of the financial year in March 2007, the United States held 8,133 tons of gold, Germany had 2,422 tons and France had 2,710 tons. Britain, currently the fifth largest economic power in the world, at least on paper, had a pitiful 315 tons6.

The Libertarian Party is proposing to reintroduce a hard currency, one backed by gold: pounds Sovereign. Although we would expect it to be initially used largely to fulfil international trade obligations, such a currency would have the added advantage of attracting foreign investors into the UK, as it would provide a secure harbour for their money in a turbulent world market. Over time, and if both the amount of gold held by the Treasury and the demand from the public was great enough, pounds Sovereign could become a commonly used currency in all our daily lives.


Plank Three: Free Banking
Another approach to banking reform that is advocated by some is the concept of free banking. Within a free banking system, there is no government control over currency or banking whatsoever—market forces determine everything. A free bank would be able to create its own currency, and make its own decisions as to how it would operate—choosing to embrace FRB if it wished.

The idea is that you—the customer—would make your own decisions as to which banking institutions and currencies to use; with pure market forces determining which survived and prospered, and which fell by the wayside.

The Libertarian Party is committed to allowing a plurality of choice in as many situations as possible for the citizens of the UK. Consequently, allowing a free banking regime to be instituted is the third plank of our portfolio of monetary reform proposals.

If the adherents of the free banking model are proved right, and such a system is embraced by the consumers of banking services, then over time free banks will become predominant in our economic system. If, on the other hand, the system isn't well received by the public, few, if any, free banks will come into existence or survive.

That's the real beauty of a truly free market: what is ultimately available to the consumer are the products and services that consumers create and sustain a demand for.


Summary

Money has to come from somewhere. Currently, money is created by the banking industry and, with the exception of the seigniorage on physical banknotes which returns to the Treasury, the profits from creating money stays within this private industry.

Our proposals for monetary reform address the issues raised above in three ways. Firstly, we will return the sovereignty of our national currency—pounds Sterling—to the Crown, with new Sterling being created, debt-free, by the government, and thence spent into the broader economy. The amount of Sterling in circulation will be prevented from being expanded through FRB, stopping bank generated inflationary spirals developing, and keeping the value of your savings safe.

Secondly, we will create a new currency, pounds Sovereign, to be 100% backed by gold. Still vital for international trade, a gold-backed currency will be immensely strong, and help protect the UK from the storms and squalls that sometimes rip through international markets. In providing a safe haven, this currency will attract investment from many overseas into the UK.

Thirdly, we will legislate to allow for the creation of free banks. If these prove popular with the market—the citizens of our nation—they will grow and prosper, with their currencies likely supplanting Sterling as the primary means of exchange on a day-to-day basis. However, and should they fail, such failure will not impact on anyone who chooses to keep their banking facilities purely denominated in pounds Sterling. In this way a genuine free market in banking will be able to be tried, without the risks being spread over the general population.

We believe that the proposals outlined above are sound and necessary. Our existing banking system has been creaking from one crisis to the next over many years, and has only remained unchallenged because of the enormous influence that those who most benefit from it—the private bankers—wield over our elected politicians.

It's a broken system. And, uniquely amongst the UK's political parties, the Libertarian Party is ready to fix it.


You can see the full Economic strategy and long term goals of the Libertarian Party on our website at http://lpuk.org/pages/manifesto/economy.php



Who Benefits?

I read a post on the members forum which said that that, when attempting to recruit friends to join LPUK, the sticking point always seemed to be our policies on the welfare state.


Our member's experience rings true. I don't think there is any question that a referendum on the welfare state would produce a result that would be in favour of retaining the current system. So, if we are to make progress with recruitment, we need to analyse why it is popular and I think there are two categories of reasons that explain it.


Firstly, people like it for what could be described as selfish reasons. Most people are afraid of the future and catastrophes like redundancy, disablement etc are possibilities for us all. So we feel less afraid if we know there is a safety net that will protect us and our families from homelessness and starvation.

Secondly, the welfare system is supported for more altruistic reasons. Most people do not want to see others suffer and are happy to contribute to ensure they do not. There is also a sense that living in a society with a strong welfare system makes people feel good about themselves- the welfare state becomes the embodiment of these altruistic instincts and supporting it makes people feel civilised.

So why are libertarians opposed?

Well, some would say for selfish reasons- we don’t like our money being forcibly removed from us in taxation and given to someone else. In fact, the reason we don’t like this is not principally because it impoverishes us- our antipathy is founded in a fundamental libertarian aversion to the interference of the state in our lives. And yet this gives us a problem of presentation.

I have been making a few contributions over at Liberal Conspiracy where the bloggers are generally a mixture of liberals and hard leftists. On LC libertarians are often portrayed as out of time 19th century mill owner types railing against the state for not allowing them the freedom to exploit their workers any more. This portrayal is powerful because it gives the statists the moral high ground- as long as they can argue that libertarians want to see starving children back on the streets, we are somewhat on the back foot.

My objections to the welfare state are not based on the fact that I have to contribute to paying for it but because it does not work. In 50 years of operation it has produced a significant underclass of benefit claimants who have been told it is their right to be fed, clothed, housed and cared for by the state. The intention was to shield the unfortunate from poverty but the effect has been to blight millions of lives by amputating their aspiration. I firmly believe that human beings are naturally motivated to aspire, to innovate, to change things for the better (including the quality of their own lives) and that to take away the impetus to do so is to waste lives. Why should someone work when he is worse off by doing so? Why would he get up on a cold winter morning when it is cosier to sleep on in bed and there is no downside to doing so?

And I believe if we are to win the debate on welfare, this is the argument we need to push. We are not against the welfare state because we think it is unfair that we are forced to pay for it (although of course it is) but because it is counter-productive to its aim of helping those that need help. A good analogy is the response to the alcoholic beggar.

The liberal would put a pound in the tin. It will be used to buy cheap drink.

The statist would stop all the passers by and compel them at gunpoint to put money in the tin until the beggar has enough money to buy food, clothing and a house. The money will still be spent on drink.

The libertarian would help the man get up and assist him in finding a job explaining that once he is earning, he will have enough money to buy as much good quality drink as he can swallow!!!

Friday, 13 March 2009

Thursday, 12 March 2009

Statement on the Luton Protests this week.

The events which took place in Luton on Tuesday were a prime example of how
several issues can easily be conflated by media or those quick to judge.
Firstly there is the right to demonstrate, which as Libertarians we fully
support, as that right is there for each and every one of us, a right that
needs defending for everyone.

However, when part of that demonstration is designed to incite, it is right,
as was visible on TV and YouTube videos, that the police take the
appropriate action to ensure the safety of both sides.

The scenes that I watched were fairly noisy and potentially violent, however
no-one on either side was assaulted or hurt which demonstrates that the
police undertook their role professionally and effeciently, but failed in
their duty under present laws to remove the provacative posters. In light of
this, the 2 arrests which the police did make were disproportionate to the
events.

A further consideration is that whatever one feels about the wars in Iraq
and Afghanistan, when our troops are put in harms way by the decisions of
politicians, they are undertaking a role not of their choosing, a role which
is a matter of life and death to them. The Armed Services in that respect
deserve our full unreserved support.

We should reserve and vent our distain at the politicians who made that
decision to go to war initially, and for those who support its continuance.
In that, I feel that the demonstrators who made their presence felt in Luton
were both misguided and probably misled.


Ian Parker-Joseph
Leader - Libertarian Party UK

.

Politically Exposed Person




The story rolls on over at The Coffee House in regard to the revelation that RBS were asking those making applications as a Merchant for Credit Card services if they are a member of a political party.

There is a discussion on what was meant by a Politically Exposed Person, if the FSA rules were misunderstood, intentionally gold-plated due to such things as RBS being Nationalised.


Even if this is a cock up and not a conspiracy, what worries me is that people took the instructions, briefed managers, informed supervisors and drilled the staff and in all that process I wonder who stood up and said "I'm not asking this!". Did any manager refuse or question it?

It reminds me of those experiments when people were asked to give electric shock treatments to a (hidden) subject. As the voltages rose and the cries got louder, the subject just kept on conforming and doing just what they were told.

Economic Terrorists


We excoriate Hamas for hiding its personnel and munitions in civilian areas, and call them "cowardly terrorists". We should start using that same formulation for those who use "the children" as an all-purpose justification for increasing taxes and the power of the state. They are economic terrorists, and should be called such at every opportunity.
- Laird, commenting on this article over at Samizdata.
I think the term "Economic Terrorist" is actually most apt for those who begin to wail when their control of other people's money to salve their own tortured and self-loathing conscience is in the least bit threatened.

Prime Example: Polly Toynbee.

Not sure if this is good or bad

Over the last few days our daily hit rate has doubled, with 46% coming from Poland.
If any Polish readers can assist I would be grateful !

Jak donosi Libertariańska Partia Zjednoczonego Królestwa (LPUK):
http://lpuk.blogspot.com/2009/03/summer-of-rage-could-be-lethal.html
Traktat Lizboński ma przywrócić w Unii (po ew. ratyfikacji TR już "Unii") Europejskiej karę śmierci. Ciekawe jest, że zostało to zamieszczone w projekcie tak, że nikt tego nie zauważył: jako "przypis do przypisu"!!!
Co rzuca ciekawe światło na ów "Traktat Reformujący": nawet znawcy tematu mogą tam znaleźć coś, czego nie spodziewali się znaleźć.
Ciekawe, co tam jeszcze jest ukryte?
Wykopał to dopiero systematyczny Niemiec, p.prof.Schachtschneider z Uniwersytetu w Norymberdze. Jest to, przyznacie Państwo, autentyczny szok!!
Oznacza to raptowny spadek poparcia dla TR ze strony Lewicy. Jednak proszę nie myśleć, że oznacza wzrost poparcia ze strony Prawicy...
Kara śmierci ma bowiem obowiązywać nie za morderstwo - tylko za "udział w zamieszkach"!!!
Z czego wynika, że "Wielki Wschód", montujący precyzyjnie te wszystkie traktaty, doskonale wie, że buduje ustrój komunistyczny (czy tam faszystowski) - i, że będą zamieszki w celu obalenia go. I przyszykował taką siurpryzę!!!
Jeśli ktoś potrzebuje jeszcze innego dowodu, że jest to spisek...

Korwin-mikke blog

Portrait Of A Failed Politician




The catastrophe at Lloyds-HBOS is the ultimate New Labour scandal. It has the lot: cronyism, back-scratching, destructive micromanaging by Gordon Brown and an unimaginably large loss of public money.


Iain Martin - The Telegraph

David Cameron has failed in the most fundamental role of Leader of HM Loyal opposition, that of holding the Government to account.


The destruction of Lloyds as an independent bank,to save Brown's skin last September, did not produce a roar of anger, but Cameron making a 'public' statement of support for the Labour Government during the Tory Party conference at a time of ' National Emergency'

Cameron was weak,outmanoeuvred and too lightweight to act as a Statesman in defence of the 65% who did not vote for Labour, let alone the unelected Brown.

By all accounts the Lloyds/HBOS debacle- the ultimate Nu-Labour sleaze story is going to cost us one-third of what it cost to defeat Hitler in real terms.

Why has this story not brought Brown down or set the political establishment on fire ? Because Cameron is supine, lazy and too focussed on his personal destiny as a future PM to bring this administration to account.

We know that the only way the books can be balanced is that services will be cut (good) but taxes for our children and grand children will go up.(bad)

The Cameronian Conservative Party has precious little policy, precious little philosophy and precious little leadership.

Cameron sees that he is a shoe in as PM, because the vast bulk of the electorate want an end to Labour, that is not a good enough reason I am afraid for him to be PM.

That was quick

A few days ago, I suggested that - emboldened by success in the alcohol market - the new puritans that infest the body politic might subsequently have a go at chocolate oranges.

I was speaking at least partially, tongue in cheek. However, it seems that even this simple pleasure should be ruthlessly taxed.

Wednesday, 11 March 2009

All This Talk of the Civil Contingencies Act

Originally posted here, 5/3/09

Hmmm ... this isn't going to be an easy post to write, chiefly because if I'm wrong and what I say isn't going to happen does indeed happen, I'm going to look worse than idiotic.

What I think isn't going to happen: Gordon Brown isn't going to use the excuse of riots resulting from the economic crisis to declare a State of Emergency, invoke the Civil Contingencies Act (2005, I believe), abolish democracy and install an all-out Gordotatorship.

Look, maybe my stating this is just an expression of my prejudices. When I spot a member of the tin foil hat brigade, I run a mile. I'm extremely averse to conspiracy theories. As a Libertarian, I am indeed naturally suspicious of government, but I require hard facts to validate my suspicions, not elaborate, entertaining, but ultimately loony theories of the David Icke variety. The NWOers who clung like limpets to the Ron Paul campaign in the States got right up my backside, and are the type of people whose rantings detract from reasonable, sane debate.

But I also know there most certainly is a country mile and a furlong between saying Gordon Brown might invoke the Civil Contingenies Act, suspend elections and install martial law, and saying the world is run by a secret group of NWO Bilderbergers who are also three-headed lizards - the former is certainly a realistic possibility (albeit, to my mind, not very) while the latter is clearly lunacy. But the Libertarians raising these concerns about the Civil Contingencies Act have not, to my mind, come up with sufficient hard evidence to back up their claim, and they risk branding us and our cause with the "loony scaremongerer" tag - one which can be very harmful.

Look, I really am in two minds about this, because I really do understand the concerns of my fellows. New Labour, contrary to what Jack Straw and Tom Harris might have us believe, have attacked our liberties with what often seems like deliberate aggression. Time and time again, they've lied, obfuscated and covered-up, on issues from Iraq to government spending to their own personal expenses. But do I think they have the disdain for us, and the guts, to take that final massive leap to all-out dictatorship? No.

Please don't get me wrong: I think this government is one of the most repressive in the Western World. But in the Western World. Not the World, which is a far bigger place, with a far larger array of types of government. And in the Western World, standards for freedom and democracy and human rights are comparatively pretty damn high, in theory at least. Do I think Gordon Brown would risk shunting us out this elite group of nations altogether? Do I think Gordon Brown, who, having spent the best part of the last week posturing for Obama prior to his visit to Washington by waffling on about our "common values" of "liberty, democracy, opportunity and whatnot" would be willing to subvert all of that to save his electoral skin?

No.

Maybe I'm deluded. But here's my fundamental argument as to why Gordon won't do it: he has not got the bollocks.

Gordon Brown has proven himself, time and time again, to be a politician and leader of the most timid, dithering, and most importantly, deluded variety. The reasons he won't invoke the Civil Contingencies Act are because:
  • He hasn't the cahones (i.e. too timid).
  • He'll dither and miss the opportunity.
  • He'll delude himself into actually thinking he can get people to like him and win at the polls.

The government are a nasty bunch with whom I fundamentally disagree on a vast range of issues. But I simply don't see the political will there for the subversion of hundreds of years of democracy. And I think such talk is scaremongering, and distracts us from the real issues.

Should I be wrong, I shall of course be extremely distressed, and in my distress shall eat my words tearfully, but look at this situation with a sharp dose of reality: are riots on British streets, should they even occur, really going to take from us what two World Wars and the Iron Curtain could not? Are the British Military, treated so shabbily by this government, going to take to the streets against civilians on the whim of Gordon?

What I think we are far more more likely to see is a continuing and probably accelerating loss of civil liberties and increase in State activity in areas of our lives, and maybe eventually, we will descend to the state we would be in were the Civil Contingencies Act to be immediately invoked - but I have to admit, however much I may worry and harp on about our freedoms in this country - there is still a long way to go before that.

The evidence for that, for starters, is that I'm able to write this blog post and you're able to read it.

Tuesday, 10 March 2009

Speed limits in target-land

Today I drove over 100 miles over rural British roads. The scenery was beautiful. The roads were good. There was little traffic. The speed limit was 60 mph, and it would have been quite safe to have driven at the limit most of the way. (I didn’t, however. I'm one of these tiresome people who prefers to drive at 45 or 50.)

The point of this is that last week, the press reported that the government is drawing up plans to cut the speed limit on single-carriageway roads in the countryside from 60mph to 50mph.

Now, I admit that there are country roads in Britain where it would be pretty difficult to do 60 mph. And I admit that cutting the speed limit to 50 will not cause a great deal of hardship to many people. Most European countries have a 90 kmph speed limit for non-urban single carriageways. And I admit that the matter of setting speed limits on roads is not easy.

But I am not impressed by this proposal, for three reasons.

1) Driving at 60 mph is not, in itself, inherently dangerous. Why should an activity that is not inherently dangerous be made illegal?

2) There are rural single carriage-ways in Britain which are straight and have very little traffic on them, and where going at 60 mph is not excessive.

3) Such legislation is completely unnecessary. The number of road deaths in Britain is low. The number of deaths in road accidents has not been rising in recent years. According to the Office for National Statistics

“In 2005, 671 pedestrians were killed in road accidents in Great Britain, this was 21 per cent of all deaths from road accidents, the lowest total for over 40 years.

The total number of deaths in road accidents fell slightly by 1 per cent to 3,201 in 2005 from 3,221 in 2004. However, the number of fatalities has remained fairly constant over the last ten years.

Just over half (52 per cent) of people killed in road accidents in 2005 were car users. Pedal cyclists and two-wheeled motor vehicle users represented 5 and 18 per cent of those killed respectively. Occupants of buses, coaches, goods and other vehicles accounted for the remaining 4 per cent of road deaths.

The total number of road casualties of all severities fell by 3 per cent between 2004 and 2005 to approximately 271,000 in Great Britain. This compares with an annual average of approximately 320,000 for the years 1994-98 and 324,000 in 1984.

The decline in the casualty rate, which takes into account the volume of traffic on the roads, has been much steeper. In 1964 there were 240 casualties per 100 million vehicle kilometres. By 2005 this had declined to 55 per 100 million vehicle kilometres.

The United Kingdom has a very good record for road safety compared with most other EU countries. In 2004 it had one of the lowest road death rates in the EU, at 5.6 per 100,000 population. The UK rate was also lower than the rates for other industrialised nations such as Japan (6.96 per 100,000 population), and substantially lower than that of Australia (8.15) and the United States (14.66).”

We don’t need this legislation. Why is it being proposed? Basically because our current government is addicted to passing unnecessary legislation. But the specific reason apparently has to do with “league tables” and “targets”

According to the Daily TelegraphIn 2007 there were 2,946 deaths and 30,000 serious injuries on British roads – with speed being a factor in 29 per cent of them. Some years ago Britain was top of the world league on road safety but has slipped down the chart recently. Jim Fitzpatrick, the road safety minister, is understood to want to get the UK back to the top of the league and to believe that a cut from 60mph to 50mph for rural single carriageways would help achieve this target.”

Let’s think about this.

1. Jim Fitzpatrick believes that this action would help achieve this target. Well, he may believe it. But should we? Looking back over the past dozen years, it seems to me that ministers in this government don’t have a very good record at guessing what effect their legislation will have.

2. The government is considering legislation because “Britain has slipped down the chart.” That implies that our roads are getting dangerous. Here are the statistics from the Department of Transport:

The number of people killed in road accidents fell by 7 per cent from 3,172 in 2006 to 2,946 in 2007.

In 2007, the number of people killed or seriously injured was 36 per cent below the 1994-98 average.

So actually, our roads are getting safer. Why is the legislation necessary?

Again, the Department of Transport:

In 2000, the Government announced a new road safety strategy and set new targets for reducing casualties by 2010. It wants to see a 40% reduction in the number of people killed or seriously injured in road accidents compared with the average for 1994-98.

In other words, this legislation is not necessary. The government, however, is fixated with arbitrarily set targets and league tables, and will do anything, however unlikely it is to work, to try to meet them.

This is no way to run a country. When laws are passed to criminalise activity that is not inherently dangerous, in the hope that it might just help the government to meet an arbitrarily set target, it brings the law into disrepute.